After yesterday’s hot, sunny weather, here in West Michigan, it looks like things will take a turn today. 98L did bring some rain to the Nueces River basin, but not as much as the models said. There is still a threat for showers and Thunderstorms in South Texas. Here are the details…

That cold front that we talked about yesterday, will move into lower Michigan today, and by late this evening be in southern lower Michigan. This is bringing moderate to high chance that there will be showers and thunderstorms. SPC and WPC has us outlooked for marginal risk (Level 1 out of 5) respectively, but the slight risks (2 of 5) for both is just west in Wisconsin. However, the front fizzles overnight, and Sunday looks to be sunny to partly cloudy. It will still be warm today with mid 80s to the lower 90s in Lower Michigan.

I was talking about the front moving south. Here you can see as it moves into northern lower this afternoon, and southern lower this evening and overnight.

This morning’s analysis doesn’t look too different from other days. Weak onshore flow with a heat low to the west. Well, maybe not a heat low. Take a look at the satellite from the past 18 hours. You see 98L move ashore with its center moving west and the cloud shield trying to move north, into a thunderstorm sheared environment.

South Texas did get some rain in the basin, but not as much that was expected.

So for the details of the forecasts (didn’t I see that before?)…Lower Michigan Beaches have a low risk of rip currents today, but thunderstorms are expected to be scattered to numerous by the afternoon, and lasting into this evening.

For the South Texas beaches, there will be a few showers and thunderstorms, with a high risk of rip currents due to the lingering effects of Invest 98L.

So what ever you do today, have a great day!