I am a meteorologist and a former youth leader at church…I have a lot to say on both subjects…and then some
Northern Michigan turning colder — highs near 50 with rain moving in and lake-effect snow in the pattern ahead; South Texas sunny and mild around 80; the Grand Strand sunny in the mid 70s with patchy morning fog. Plus a look at the coastal lows and the Alberta clipper on the way.
Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:35 National Observations, Radar & Surface Analysis
7:21 Satellite
9:07 Models — RRFS
13:44 Models — ECMWF & GFS
21:01 National Forecast Maps & Outlooks
26:11 Northern Michigan
29:27 South Texas
31:43 Myrtle Beach Area
33:40 Wrap-Up
Northern Michigan in the mid-to-upper 60s today with rain moving in, then much colder with lake-effect flakes possible by Friday; South Texas sunny and dry in the upper 70s to mid 80s ahead of a Friday front; the Grand Strand sunny, mid 70s along the coast to lower 80s inland, with rain staying offshore. Plus a look at the coastal lows and the colder pattern ahead.
Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:27 National Observations, Radar & Surface Analysis
6:46 Satellite
8:12 Models — RRFS
15:15 Models — ECMWF & GFS
19:46 National Forecast Maps & Outlooks
24:19 Northern Michigan
26:16 South Texas
27:55 Myrtle Beach Area
30:23 Wrap-Up
Websites used:
Weather.gov (WPC/SPC/Local offices),
https://Tropicaltidbits.com,
https://weathernerds.org
Apps used: RadarScope
EverythingWeather
Weather Front
Web links
Web Site: https://ministry-weather.com
Facebook: recreational.weather
Instagram: recreational.weather
X: @nmirecwx (South Texas and Lower Michigan Recreational Weather)
YouTube: @JeffLutz
Coffee and Weather with Jeff — Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Northern Michigan mild in the mid 60s to near 70 today with showers and thunderstorms moving in tonight; South Texas in the lower-to-mid 80s (90s in the Rio Grande Valley) ahead of the next front; the Grand Strand sunny to partly cloudy and dry with rain staying offshore. Plus a look at the Atlantic tropical disturbance and the colder air on the way later in the period.
Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:28 National Observations, Radar & Surface Analysis
3:39 Satellite
4:58 Models — RRFS
8:27 Models — ECMWF & GFS
14:48 Tropical Weather Outlook
18:14 National Forecast Maps & Outlooks
21:06 Northern Michigan
22:06 South Texas
23:35 Myrtle Beach Area
27:28 Wrap-Up
Data and imagery credits: Weather.gov (WPC, SPC, and local NWS offices), TropicalTidbits.com, WeatherNerds.org. Apps used: RadarScope, EverythingWeather, Weather Front.
The official kickoff: Northern Michigan dry in the mid 60s today with rain arriving tonight ahead of a wet, cooling week; South Texas in the mid 80s (dense fog this morning) ahead of a Tuesday-night front; the Grand Strand cloudy and dry in the lower-to-mid 70s with rain chances building Thursday and Friday.
The last test day before Monday’s official kickoff: a mostly cloudy Grand Strand in the lower 70s, Northern Michigan in the mid 60s with a slight chance of sprinkles, and South Texas in the 80s with dense fog this morning — rain chances build late in the week.
Chapters:
Patchy fog this morning, then sunshine — with a Coastal Flood Advisory along the Grand Strand coast from 10 AM to 2 PM.
Websites used:
Weather.gov (WPC/SPC/Local offices),
https://Tropicaltidbits.com,
https://weathernerds.org
Apps used: RadarScope
EverythingWeather
Weather Front
Web links
Web Site: https://ministry-weather.com
Facebook: recreational.weather
Instagram: recreational.weather
X: @nmirecwx (South Texas and Lower Michigan Recreational Weather)
YouTube: @JeffLutz
A sunny Halloween across all three areas — Myrtle Beach 69°, Gaylord 57°, Corpus Christi 81° — with a Beach Hazards Statement along the Georgetown coast through this evening.
Chapters:
0:00 Intro
1:02 National Surface Analysis
6:48 Advisories & Watches
11:16 Model Outlook
24:17 Alerts in Our Three Areas
26:21 Northern Michigan
27:25 South Texas
29:27 Myrtle Beach Area
30:36 7-Day Outlooks
32:41 Wrap-Up
A lot has happened over the last few weeks. I won’t bore you with the details, but our family trips have merged into one long road trip. In the midst of that, I ran across a new weather app and website (Weather Front), as well as my friend Cory has really added some killer features for Everything Weather!
I’m sitting at my son’s kitchen table, waiting for Mary and started playing a little with Weather Front and found out I can do some drawing on the analysis page, and then change the background to the satellite, with the obs, and realized that I show, much more up to date. I might even start doing some analysis/forecast recordings in the coming days.
Also Cory Mottice, the programmer and designer of the Everything Weather app, has been adding more features to the point, where I can see that could be my go to app for everything! I mean, drawing and illustrating the fronts and other features, as well as showing the NWS point and click forecasts. So you will see more from that as well.
With all of that said, here’s a Weather Front map…
take care…
Active weather in the center of the country as the blocking pattern breaks down, and the zonal flow (jet stream west to east) pushes rounds of rain every couple of days. The tropical threat for the following week has quieted down over the last few days. Most of the members of the ECMWF show something in the Bay of Campeche, but stays close to Mexico. No central or eastern Gulf storms today on the ensembles. South Carolina coastal weather…Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening, starting Wednesday and going into next week with this pattern.
Chapters
00:00 – Intro
00:34 – Current Weather
08:28 – Forecast maps
13:31 – SPC/WPC outlooks
18:47 – NHC and tropical outlook
21:56 – South Carolina Weather
29:00 – End
Websites used:
Weather.gov (WPC/SPC/Local offices),
https://Tropicaltidbits.com,
https://weather.cod.edu (College of DuPage),
https://beta.pivotalweather.com
https://weathernerds.org
Apps used: RadarScope
EverythingWeather
Web links
Web Site: https://ministry-weather.com
Facebook: recreational.weather
Instagram: recreational.weather
X: @nmirecwx (South Texas and Lower Michigan Recreational Weather)
Got my time down to about 25 minutes. I had to stop recording because of issues with my tablet. After straightening that out, I got rolling again. Weather-wise, last day along the South Carolina Beaches where the chance for rain is less than 10 percent. Chances go up to about 30-40% over the next week, during the afternoons as a nearby front, and jet stream pattern help to take the moisture in the atmosphere and start squeezing back out again. Temperatures along the beaches will be in the 80s, with some days warmer than others. Inland, a few of the days will get into the 90s.
We are heading out to see family about midweek, so some of my coverage could be spotty to non-existent, depending on whether I can find some place to record.
00:00 – Intro
00:32 – Current Weather
06:44 – Forecast Maps
11:55 – SPC/WPC Maps
15:47 – NHC and the tropical outlook
21:11 – South Carolina weather
25:15 – End
Websites used:
Weather.gov (WPC/SPC/Local offices),
https://Tropicaltidbits.com,
https://weather.cod.edu (College of DuPage),
https://beta.pivotalweather.com
https://weathernerds.org
Apps used: RadarScope
EverythingWeather
Web links
Web Site: https://ministry-weather.com
Facebook: recreational.weather
Instagram: recreational.weather
X: @nmirecwx (South Texas and Lower Michigan Recreational Weather)
