Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/18/2025

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/18/2025. Flooding rain continues in the Mid-Atlantic. Slight Risk of Severe in Lower Michigan Saturday. South Texas Summer, and pleasant in Michigan.

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/17/2025

A little late for today. I was watching the Tour de France first mountain stage. Main thing, the slow moving front in New England, stretching into New Mexico this morning is the main weather maker, and Invest 93L producing heavy rain in Louisiana today.

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/16/2025

Severe weather possibilities in the Upper Great Lakes today. Risks Heavy rain across the country. NHC Updates on 93L.

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/15/2025

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/14/2025

Hurricane Center Upgrade…07/12/2025

NHC 7 day outlook and discussion 8:00 pm 07/12/2025

While I was having dinner with family tonight, I noticed this popped up in my feeds. It looks like there is enough support for something to get going. I think I had said something yesterday, during my last video that a “home-grown” (stalled front) tropical system could spin up.

I was then pointed to this…

Google Deep Think weather lab experimental ML model.

The blue is the machine learning weather model ensemble, the orange the ECMWF ensemble. This is Wednesday at 8 pm, and the center of low pressure systems from the models. So, I went over to TropicalTidbits.com to look at the model ensemble runs from the same time.

GFS Ensemble (GEFS) at 2am Wed. (Red numbers are low pressure centers. Blue high)
ECMWF Ensemble for 2am Thursday (EDT)

So there is a spread of time when we could see something form. And then where does it go? The models are all over the place. There is enough support that a depression will form in the Gulf, between Wednesday and Thursday, and move to the west before moving north. So far the models show weak systems. However, this is the time to prepare. Don’t get caught flat footed.

Something looks like it will form, but the strength and timing are unknown…

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/11/2025

A quick one today, as we are moving the RV downstate to be closer to the boat we are purchasing!

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/10/2025

Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff…07/09/2025

Here’s the latest Coffee and a Weather Map with Jeff for 07/09/2025…

Comment below if you have a question or a weather request, or at my instagram/facebook/x/youtube pages.

Updates with Jeff…07/08/2025